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Longwarry vs Moe vs Ararat — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $1.00Mbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Longwarry

    VIC · 3816
    56Average
    Median
    $550k
    5y growth
    6.3%/yr
    BalancedStable entry · room to scale

  2. Moe

    VIC · 3825
    57Average
    Median
    $339k
    5y growth
    10.1%/yr
    GrowthStable entry · room to scale

  3. Ararat

    VIC · 3377
    57Average
    Median
    $330k
    5y growth
    8.9%/yr
    BalancedStable entry · room to scale

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Longwarry
Moe
Ararat
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
636.3%/yr
10010.1%/yr
898.9%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
623.1%
613.1%
793.9%
Rental demand
weight 10%
681.3%
402.4%
402.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
6416.0%
5213.0%
5213.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
4545% under cap
6666% under cap
6767% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
80-6.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Longwarry

    3/8
    • Rental demand
    • Income growth
    • Supply tightening

  2. Moe

    1/8
    • Capital growth (5y)

  3. Ararat

    2/8
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

Why Longwarry

Stable entry · room to scale

listings tightening 6.0% YoY, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Tight rentals1.3%
  • Income growth+16.0% (5y)
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley58.6 kmConstruction · 2035

Why Moe

Stable entry · room to scale

10.1%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth10.1%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Budget headroom66% under cap
  • Rental yield3.1%
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley101.9 kmConstruction · 2035

Why Ararat

Stable entry · room to scale

8.9%/yr capital growth, 3.9% gross yield.

Drivers
  • Capital growth8.9%/yr
  • Rental yield3.9%
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Budget headroom67% under cap
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub176.5 kmApproved · 2033