Back to results

South Kingsville vs Shepparton vs Baxter — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $1.20Mbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. South Kingsville

    VIC · 3015
    56Average
    Median
    $1.03M
    5y growth
    3.6%/yr
    BalancedLate-cycle hold

  2. Shepparton

    VIC · 3630
    56Average
    Median
    $480k
    5y growth
    11.2%/yr
    GrowthStable entry · room to scale

  3. Baxter

    VIC · 3911
    57Average
    Median
    $775k
    5y growth
    7.9%/yr
    GrowthGrowth-led, low cashflow

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
South Kingsville
Shepparton
Baxter
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
363.6%/yr
10011.2%/yr
797.9%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
391.9%
592.9%
482.4%
Rental demand
weight 10%
681.3%
402.4%
681.3%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
8421.0%
5213.0%
6416.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
60$3.0bn
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
1414% under cap
6060% under cap
3535% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
85-7.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
80-6.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. South Kingsville

    3/8
    • Income growth
    • Construction pipeline
    • Supply tightening

  2. Shepparton

    3/8
    • Capital growth (5y)
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

  3. Baxter

    0/8

    No outright lead on any single dimension.

Why South Kingsville

Late-cycle hold

listings tightening 7.0% YoY, incomes +21.0% (5y).

Drivers
  • Supply tightening-7.0% YoY
  • Income growth+21.0% (5y)
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Tight rentals1.3%
Risks
  • Thin gross yield (1.9%)
  • Modest 5y growth (3.6%/yr)

Construction ·West Gate Tunnel2.3 kmConstruction · 2025

Why Shepparton

Stable entry · room to scale

11.2%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth11.2%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Budget headroom60% under cap
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·North East Link — Bulleen156.9 kmConstruction · 2028

Why Baxter

Growth-led, low cashflow

listings tightening 6.0% YoY, 7.9%/yr capital growth.

Drivers
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Capital growth7.9%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Tight rentals1.3%
Risks
  • Thin gross yield (2.4%)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Cheltenham26.8 kmConstruction · 2035