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Heywood vs Kerang vs Birchip — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $300kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Heywood

    VIC · 3304
    33Below trend
    Median
    $275k
    5y growth
    9.1%/yr
    GrowthThin market · ~2k residents

  2. Kerang

    VIC · 3579
    47Average
    Median
    $265k
    5y growth
    9.3%/yr
    BalancedThin market · ~4k residents

  3. Birchip

    VIC · 3483
    24Below trend
    Median
    $120k
    5y growth
    2.0%/yr
    YieldThin market · ~0.7k residents

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Heywood
Kerang
Birchip
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
919.1%/yr
939.3%/yr
202.0%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
683.4%
783.9%
1006.7%
Rental demand
weight 10%
402.4%
402.4%
402.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
5213.0%
5213.0%
5213.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
88% under cap
1212% under cap
6060% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Heywood

    0/8

    No outright lead on any single dimension.

  2. Kerang

    1/8
    • Capital growth (5y)

  3. Birchip

    2/8
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

Why Heywood

Thin market · ~2k residents

9.1%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth9.1%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.4%
Risks
  • Only 1,815 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • At top of budget (92% of cap)

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub284.4 kmApproved · 2033

Why Kerang

Thin market · ~4k residents

9.3%/yr capital growth, 3.9% gross yield.

Drivers
  • Capital growth9.3%/yr
  • Rental yield3.9%
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 3,960 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub241.3 kmApproved · 2033

Why Birchip

Thin market · ~0.7k residents

6.7% gross yield, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Rental yield6.7%
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Budget headroom60% under cap
Risks
  • Only 694 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • Modest 5y growth (2.0%/yr)

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub263.2 kmApproved · 2033