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St Arnaud vs Casterton vs Rainbow — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $300kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. St Arnaud

    VIC · 3478
    30Below trend
    Median
    $200k
    5y growth
    2.7%/yr
    YieldThin market · ~2k residents

  2. Casterton

    VIC · 3311
    30Below trend
    Median
    $195k
    5y growth
    5.4%/yr
    YieldThin market · ~2k residents

  3. Rainbow

    VIC · 3424
    28Below trend
    Median
    $235k
    5y growth
    25.7%/yr
    GrowthThin market · ~0.7k residents

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
St Arnaud
Casterton
Rainbow
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
272.7%/yr
545.4%/yr
10025.7%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
984.9%
854.3%
442.2%
Rental demand
weight 10%
402.4%
402.4%
402.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
5213.0%
5213.0%
5213.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
3333% under cap
3535% under cap
2222% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. St Arnaud

    1/8
    • Rental yield

  2. Casterton

    1/8
    • Affordability

  3. Rainbow

    1/8
    • Capital growth (5y)

Why St Arnaud

Thin market · ~2k residents

4.9% gross yield, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Rental yield4.9%
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 2,318 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • Modest 5y growth (2.7%/yr)

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub190.5 kmApproved · 2033

Why Casterton

Thin market · ~2k residents

4.3% gross yield, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Rental yield4.3%
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 1,673 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub302.8 kmApproved · 2033

Why Rainbow

Thin market · ~0.7k residents

25.7%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth25.7%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 672 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • Thin gross yield (2.2%)

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub328.0 kmApproved · 2033