Back to results

Bairnsdale vs Churchill vs Heyfield — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $400kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Bairnsdale

    VIC · 3875
    46Average
    Median
    $370k
    5y growth
    6.2%/yr
    BalancedStable but fully priced

  2. Churchill

    VIC · 3842
    53Average
    Median
    $345k
    5y growth
    13.3%/yr
    GrowthThin market · ~5k residents

  3. Heyfield

    VIC · 3858
    34Below trend
    Median
    $385k
    5y growth
    14.6%/yr
    GrowthThin market · ~2k residents

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Bairnsdale
Churchill
Heyfield
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
626.2%/yr
10013.3%/yr
10014.6%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
763.8%
693.5%
572.8%
Rental demand
weight 10%
402.4%
402.4%
402.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
5213.0%
5213.0%
5213.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
77% under cap
1414% under cap
44% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Bairnsdale

    1/8
    • Rental yield

  2. Churchill

    1/8
    • Affordability

  3. Heyfield

    0/8

    No outright lead on any single dimension.

Why Bairnsdale

Stable but fully priced

population +7.8% (5y), 3.8% gross yield.

Drivers
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.8%
  • Capital growth6.2%/yr
Risks
  • At top of budget (93% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley215.4 kmConstruction · 2035

Why Churchill

Thin market · ~5k residents

13.3%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth13.3%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.5%
Risks
  • Only 4,924 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley120.0 kmConstruction · 2035

Why Heyfield

Thin market · ~2k residents

14.6%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth14.6%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 2,050 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • At top of budget (96% of cap)

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley143.1 kmConstruction · 2035