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Caulfield East vs Newborough vs Merbein — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $400kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Caulfield East

    VIC · 3145
    46Average
    Median
    $320k
    5y growth
    -10.3%/yr
    YieldLate-cycle hold

  2. Newborough

    VIC · 3825
    49Average
    Median
    $386k
    5y growth
    8.6%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

  3. Merbein

    VIC · 3505
    39Below trend
    Median
    $358k
    5y growth
    11.2%/yr
    GrowthThin market · ~3k residents

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Caulfield East
Newborough
Merbein
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
0-10.3%/yr
868.6%/yr
10011.2%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
1005.2%
623.1%
613.1%
Rental demand
weight 10%
651.4%
402.4%
402.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
7619.0%
5213.0%
5213.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
2020% under cap
44% under cap
1111% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
80-6.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Caulfield East

    5/8
    • Rental yield
    • Rental demand
    • Income growth
    • Affordability
    • Supply tightening

  2. Newborough

    0/8

    No outright lead on any single dimension.

  3. Merbein

    1/8
    • Capital growth (5y)

Why Caulfield East

Late-cycle hold

5.2% gross yield, listings tightening 6.0% YoY.

Drivers
  • Rental yield5.2%
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Income growth+19.0% (5y)
Risks
  • Modest 5y growth (-10.3%/yr)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Metro Tunnel — Anzac Station7.5 kmRecently completed · 2025

Why Newborough

Stable but fully priced

8.6%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth8.6%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.1%
Risks
  • At top of budget (96% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley104.6 kmConstruction · 2035

Why Merbein

Thin market · ~3k residents

11.2%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth11.2%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.1%
Risks
  • Only 2,770 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub474.5 kmApproved · 2033