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Long Gully vs Portland vs Red Cliffs — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $400kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Long Gully

    VIC · 3550
    37Below trend
    Median
    $385k
    5y growth
    6.5%/yr
    BalancedThin market · ~3k residents

  2. Portland

    VIC · 3305
    48Average
    Median
    $390k
    5y growth
    8.0%/yr
    BalancedStable but fully priced

  3. Red Cliffs

    VIC · 3496
    52Average
    Median
    $400k
    5y growth
    13.0%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Long Gully
Portland
Red Cliffs
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
656.5%/yr
808.0%/yr
10013.0%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
683.4%
673.3%
623.1%
Rental demand
weight 10%
402.4%
402.4%
402.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
5213.0%
5213.0%
5213.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
44% under cap
33% under cap
0Over cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Long Gully

    2/8
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

  2. Portland

    0/8

    No outright lead on any single dimension.

  3. Red Cliffs

    1/8
    • Capital growth (5y)

Why Long Gully

Thin market · ~3k residents

population +7.8% (5y), 3.4% gross yield.

Drivers
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.4%
  • Capital growth6.5%/yr
Risks
  • Only 3,420 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • At top of budget (96% of cap)

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub126.7 kmApproved · 2033

Why Portland

Stable but fully priced

8.0%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth8.0%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.3%
Risks
  • At top of budget (98% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub289.6 kmApproved · 2033

Why Red Cliffs

Stable but fully priced

13.0%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth13.0%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.1%
Risks
  • At top of budget (100% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub454.0 kmApproved · 2033