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Longwarry vs Shepparton vs Lower Macdonald — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $600kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Longwarry

    VIC · 3816
    53Average
    Median
    $550k
    5y growth
    6.3%/yr
    BalancedStable but fully priced
  2. Shepparton

    VIC · 3630
    53Average
    Median
    $480k
    5y growth
    11.2%/yr
    GrowthStable entry point
  3. Lower Macdonald

    NSW · 2775
    58Average
    Median
    $195k
    5y growth
    5.0%/yr
    YieldStable entry · room to scale

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Longwarry
Shepparton
Lower Macdonald
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
636.3%/yr
10011.2%/yr
505.0%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
623.1%
592.9%
1008.3%
Rental demand
weight 10%
681.3%
402.4%
681.3%
Population growth
weight 12%
787.8%
787.8%
656.5%
Income growth
weight 12%
6416.0%
5213.0%
6416.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0
0
0
Affordability
weight 8%
88% under cap
2020% under cap
6868% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
80-6.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY
75-5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Longwarry

    1/8
    • Supply tightening
  2. Shepparton

    1/8
    • Capital growth (5y)
  3. Lower Macdonald

    2/8
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

Why Longwarry

Stable but fully priced

listings tightening 6.0% YoY, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Tight rentals1.3%
  • Income growth+16.0% (5y)
Risks
  • At top of budget (92% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley58.6 kmConstruction · 2035

Why Shepparton

Stable entry point

11.2%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth11.2%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·North East Link — Bulleen156.9 kmConstruction · 2028

Why Lower Macdonald

Stable entry · room to scale

8.3% gross yield, listings tightening 5.0% YoY.

Drivers
  • Rental yield8.3%
  • Supply tightening-5.0% YoY
  • Tight rentals1.3%
  • Budget headroom68% under cap
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Sydney Metro West — Parramatta50.2 kmConstruction · 2030