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Geraldton vs Mambourin vs Reynella — which is best for rental demand?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $700kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Geraldton

    WA · 6530
    47Average
    Median
    $445k
    5y growth
    10.6%/yr
    GrowthThin market · ~3k residents

  2. Mambourin

    VIC · 3024
    62Strong
    Median
    $574k
    5y growth
    11.7%/yr
    GrowthStable entry point

  3. Reynella

    SA · 5161
    56Average
    Median
    $645k
    5y growth
    9.8%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Geraldton
Mambourin
Reynella
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
10010.6%/yr
10011.7%/yr
989.8%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
512.6%
663.3%
522.6%
Rental demand
weight 10%
502.0%
651.4%
701.2%
Population growth
weight 12%
10012.6%
787.8%
656.5%
Income growth
weight 12%
6015.0%
6416.0%
6015.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
3636% under cap
1818% under cap
88% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
40+2.0% YoY
80-6.0% YoY
70-4.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Geraldton

    2/8
    • Population growth
    • Affordability

  2. Mambourin

    3/8
    • Rental yield
    • Income growth
    • Supply tightening

  3. Reynella

    1/8
    • Rental demand

Why Geraldton

Thin market · ~3k residents

10.6%/yr capital growth, population +12.6% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth10.6%/yr
  • Population growth+12.6% (5y)
  • Income growth+15.0% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 3,246 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • No major construction project in this state

Why Mambourin

Stable entry point

11.7%/yr capital growth, listings tightening 6.0% YoY.

Drivers
  • Capital growth11.7%/yr
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.3%
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub23.7 kmApproved · 2033

Why Reynella

Stable but fully priced

9.8%/yr capital growth, tight 1.2% vacancy.

Drivers
  • Capital growth9.8%/yr
  • Tight rentals1.2%
  • Supply tightening-4.0% YoY
  • Population growth+6.5% (5y)
Risks
  • At top of budget (92% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state