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Lower Macdonald vs Churchill — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $700kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Lower Macdonald

    NSW · 2775
    58Average
    Median
    $195k
    5y growth
    5.0%/yr
    YieldStable entry · room to scale

  2. Churchill

    VIC · 3842
    56Average
    Median
    $345k
    5y growth
    13.3%/yr
    GrowthThin market · ~5k residents

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Lower Macdonald
Churchill
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
505.0%/yr
10013.3%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
1008.3%
693.5%
Rental demand
weight 10%
681.3%
402.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
656.5%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
6416.0%
5213.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
7272% under cap
5151% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
75-5.0% YoY
25+5.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Lower Macdonald

    5/8
    • Rental yield
    • Rental demand
    • Income growth
    • Affordability
    • Supply tightening

  2. Churchill

    2/8
    • Capital growth (5y)
    • Population growth

Why Lower Macdonald

Stable entry · room to scale

8.3% gross yield, listings tightening 5.0% YoY.

Drivers
  • Rental yield8.3%
  • Supply tightening-5.0% YoY
  • Budget headroom72% under cap
  • Tight rentals1.3%
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Sydney Metro West — Parramatta50.2 kmConstruction · 2030

Why Churchill

Thin market · ~5k residents

13.3%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth13.3%/yr
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.5%
Risks
  • Only 4,924 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley120.0 kmConstruction · 2035