Back to results

Carseldine vs Morphett Vale vs Braybrook — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $900kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Carseldine

    QLD · 4034
    64Strong
    Median
    $895k
    5y growth
    12.2%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

  2. Morphett Vale

    SA · 5162
    59Average
    Median
    $595k
    5y growth
    10.5%/yr
    GrowthStable entry point

  3. Braybrook

    VIC · 3019
    51Average
    Median
    $715k
    5y growth
    2.0%/yr
    BalancedLate-cycle hold

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Carseldine
Morphett Vale
Braybrook
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
10012.2%/yr
10010.5%/yr
202.0%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
512.5%
522.6%
452.3%
Rental demand
weight 10%
731.1%
701.2%
681.3%
Population growth
weight 12%
10010.0%
656.5%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
7619.0%
6015.0%
8421.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
42$2.1bn
Affordability
weight 8%
11% under cap
3434% under cap
2121% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
90-8.0% YoY
70-4.0% YoY
85-7.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Carseldine

    3/8
    • Rental demand
    • Population growth
    • Supply tightening

  2. Morphett Vale

    2/8
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

  3. Braybrook

    2/8
    • Income growth
    • Construction pipeline

Why Carseldine

Stable but fully priced

12.2%/yr capital growth, population +10.0% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth12.2%/yr
  • Population growth+10.0% (5y)
  • Supply tightening-8.0% YoY
  • Income growth+19.0% (5y)
Risks
  • At top of budget (99% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Cross River Rail — Roma Street13.1 kmConstruction · 2026

Why Morphett Vale

Stable entry point

10.5%/yr capital growth, tight 1.2% vacancy.

Drivers
  • Capital growth10.5%/yr
  • Tight rentals1.2%
  • Supply tightening-4.0% YoY
  • Population growth+6.5% (5y)
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Why Braybrook

Late-cycle hold

listings tightening 7.0% YoY, incomes +21.0% (5y).

Drivers
  • Supply tightening-7.0% YoY
  • Income growth+21.0% (5y)
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Tight rentals1.3%
Risks
  • Thin gross yield (2.3%)
  • Modest 5y growth (2.0%/yr)

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub2.3 kmApproved · 2033