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Darwin vs Carseldine — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $900kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Darwin

    NT · 0800
    44Below trend
    Median
    $745k
    5y growth
    3.8%/yr
    YieldLate-cycle hold

  2. Carseldine

    QLD · 4034
    64Strong
    Median
    $895k
    5y growth
    12.2%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Darwin
Carseldine
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
383.8%/yr
10012.2%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
1005.4%
512.5%
Rental demand
weight 10%
382.5%
731.1%
Population growth
weight 12%
717.1%
10010.0%
Income growth
weight 12%
4812.0%
7619.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
1717% under cap
11% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
40+2.0% YoY
90-8.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Darwin

    2/8
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

  2. Carseldine

    5/8
    • Capital growth (5y)
    • Rental demand
    • Population growth
    • Income growth
    • Supply tightening

Why Darwin

Late-cycle hold

5.4% gross yield, population +7.1% (5y).

Drivers
  • Rental yield5.4%
  • Population growth+7.1% (5y)
Risks
  • Modest 5y growth (3.8%/yr)
  • No major construction project in this state

Why Carseldine

Stable but fully priced

12.2%/yr capital growth, population +10.0% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth12.2%/yr
  • Population growth+10.0% (5y)
  • Supply tightening-8.0% YoY
  • Income growth+19.0% (5y)
Risks
  • At top of budget (99% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Cross River Rail — Roma Street13.1 kmConstruction · 2026