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Darwin vs Sunshine — which is best for infrastructure?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $900kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Darwin

    NT · 0800
    44Below trend
    Median
    $745k
    5y growth
    3.8%/yr
    YieldLate-cycle hold

  2. Sunshine

    VIC · 3020
    68Strong
    Median
    $825k
    5y growth
    7.5%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Darwin
Sunshine
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
383.8%/yr
757.5%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
1005.4%
432.1%
Rental demand
weight 10%
382.5%
651.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
717.1%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
4812.0%
6416.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
100$9.1bn
Affordability
weight 8%
1717% under cap
88% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
40+2.0% YoY
80-6.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Darwin

    2/8
    • Rental yield
    • Affordability

  2. Sunshine

    6/8
    • Capital growth (5y)
    • Rental demand
    • Population growth
    • Income growth
    • Construction pipeline
    • Supply tightening

Why Darwin

Late-cycle hold

5.4% gross yield, population +7.1% (5y).

Drivers
  • Rental yield5.4%
  • Population growth+7.1% (5y)
Risks
  • Modest 5y growth (3.8%/yr)
  • No major construction project in this state

Why Sunshine

Stable but fully priced

$9.1bn pipeline incl. Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub, listings tightening 6.0% YoY.

Drivers
  • Infrastructure pipeline$9.1bn nearby
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Capital growth7.5%/yr
Risks
  • At top of budget (92% of cap)
  • Thin gross yield (2.1%)

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub0.0 kmApproved · 2033