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Lithgow vs Geebung vs Deanside — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $900kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Lithgow

    NSW · 2790
    41Below trend
    Median
    $508k
    5y growth
    5.0%/yr
    BalancedThin market · ~5k residents

  2. Geebung

    QLD · 4034
    65Strong
    Median
    $845k
    5y growth
    11.8%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

  3. Deanside

    VIC · 3336
    62Strong
    Median
    $660k
    5y growth
    14.5%/yr
    GrowthStable entry point

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Lithgow
Geebung
Deanside
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
505.0%/yr
10011.8%/yr
10014.5%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
572.9%
512.6%
633.2%
Rental demand
weight 10%
352.6%
731.1%
651.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
656.5%
10010.0%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
5213.0%
7619.0%
6416.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
0–
Affordability
weight 8%
4444% under cap
66% under cap
2727% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
20+6.0% YoY
90-8.0% YoY
80-6.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Lithgow

    1/8
    • Affordability

  2. Geebung

    4/8
    • Rental demand
    • Population growth
    • Income growth
    • Supply tightening

  3. Deanside

    1/8
    • Rental yield

Why Lithgow

Thin market · ~5k residents

population +6.5% (5y), 2.9% gross yield.

Drivers
  • Population growth+6.5% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 4,956 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • Listings up 6.0% YoY — supply easing

Construction ·Sydney Metro — Western Sydney Airport69.6 kmConstruction · 2026

Why Geebung

Stable but fully priced

11.8%/yr capital growth, population +10.0% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth11.8%/yr
  • Population growth+10.0% (5y)
  • Supply tightening-8.0% YoY
  • Income growth+19.0% (5y)
Risks
  • At top of budget (94% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Cross River Rail — Roma Street12.6 kmConstruction · 2026

Why Deanside

Stable entry point

14.5%/yr capital growth, listings tightening 6.0% YoY.

Drivers
  • Capital growth14.5%/yr
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Tight rentals1.4%
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Construction ·Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub16.5 kmApproved · 2033