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Noarlunga vs Casey vs Kew East — which is best for growth?

Same eight metrics, scored against the same benchmark, ranked against a $900kbudget. Look for where one suburb is materially ahead — that's the dimension that should sway your call.

  1. Noarlunga

    SA · 5168
    64Strong
    Median
    $545k
    5y growth
    10.8%/yr
    BalancedStable entry point

  2. Casey

    ACT · 2913
    60Strong
    Median
    $845k
    5y growth
    9.2%/yr
    GrowthStable but fully priced

  3. Kew East

    VIC · 3102
    51Average
    Median
    $645k
    5y growth
    -7.8%/yr
    YieldStable entry point

Metric breakdown

Each row scores 0–100 against a fixed benchmark. The leader on each row is highlighted.

Metric · weight
Noarlunga
Casey
Kew East
Capital growth (5y)
weight 22%
10010.8%/yr
929.2%/yr
0-7.8%/yr
Rental yield
weight 13%
884.4%
623.1%
763.8%
Rental demand
weight 10%
701.2%
681.3%
651.4%
Population growth
weight 12%
656.5%
919.1%
787.8%
Income growth
weight 12%
6015.0%
6817.0%
7619.0%
Construction pipeline
weight 15%
0–
0–
50$2.5bn
Affordability
weight 8%
3939% under cap
66% under cap
2828% under cap
Supply tightening
weight 8%
70-4.0% YoY
70-4.0% YoY
80-6.0% YoY

Winner per dimension

Where each suburb leads the field, with the count of dimensions won.

  1. Noarlunga

    4/8
    • Capital growth (5y)
    • Rental yield
    • Rental demand
    • Affordability

  2. Casey

    1/8
    • Population growth

  3. Kew East

    3/8
    • Income growth
    • Construction pipeline
    • Supply tightening

Why Noarlunga

Stable entry point

10.8%/yr capital growth, 4.4% gross yield.

Drivers
  • Capital growth10.8%/yr
  • Rental yield4.4%
  • Tight rentals1.2%
  • Supply tightening-4.0% YoY
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Why Casey

Stable but fully priced

9.2%/yr capital growth, population +9.1% (5y).

Drivers
  • Capital growth9.2%/yr
  • Population growth+9.1% (5y)
  • Supply tightening-4.0% YoY
  • Income growth+17.0% (5y)
Risks
  • At top of budget (94% of cap)
  • No major construction project in this state

Why Kew East

Stable entry point

listings tightening 6.0% YoY, population +7.8% (5y).

Drivers
  • Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Income growth+19.0% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.8%
Risks
  • Modest 5y growth (-7.8%/yr)

Construction ·North East Link — Bulleen3.0 kmConstruction · 2028