Brimbank · 3022
Ardeer, VIC
listings tightening 6.0% YoY, population +7.8% (5y).
NextSuburb scoreTier C
52Average
Median house
$708k
5y growth
4.3%/yr
Gross yield
2.5%
Vacancy
1.4%
Stable entry · room to scaleMedium confidence
Eight-signal breakdown
Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.
- Capital growth (5y)4.3%/yr43/100
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)78/100
- Supply tightening-6.0% YoY80/100
- Rental yield2.5%50/100
- Rental demand1.4% vacancy65/100
- Income growth+16.0% (5y)64/100
- Construction pipeline$0.6bn nearby11/100
- Affordability53% under cap53/100
Why this score
Ardeer scores 52/100 (Average). The two strongest signals: 7.8% population growth over five years and 1.4% vacancy rate. The standout watch-out: gross yield of 2.5% leaves modest cashflow.
Drivers
- Supply tightening-6.0% YoY
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)
- Tight rentals1.4%
- Income growth+16.0% (5y)
Risks
- Thin gross yield (2.5%)
Nearest infrastructure
Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub3.0 km away
Approved · $13.0bn · completion 2033
Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.
Comparable suburbs
Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.
See the full VIC ranking60-month score history
Backfilled — live history begins May 2026Watch this suburb
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