East Gippsland · 3875

Bairnsdale, VIC

population +7.8% (5y), 3.8% gross yield.

NextSuburb scoreTier C
51Average
Median house
$370k
5y growth
6.2%/yr
Gross yield
3.8%
Vacancy
2.4%
Stable entry · room to scaleHigh confidence
Last updated May 2026Next refresh 3 June 2026Informational only — not financial advice

Eight-signal breakdown

Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.

  • Capital growth (5y)6.2%/yr
    62/100
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
    78/100
  • Supply tightening+5.0% YoY
    25/100
  • Rental yield3.8%
    76/100
  • Rental demand2.4% vacancy
    40/100
  • Income growth+13.0% (5y)
    52/100
  • Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline
    0/100
  • Affordability75% under cap
    75/100

Why this score

Bairnsdale scores 51/100 (Average). The two strongest signals: 7.8% population growth over five years and 3.8% gross rental yield. The standout watch-out: no major construction project was found within the suburb's catchment.

Drivers
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Rental yield3.8%
  • Budget headroom75% under cap
  • Capital growth6.2%/yr
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Nearest infrastructure

Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley215.4 km away

Construction · $5.0bn · completion 2035

Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.

Comparable suburbs

Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.

See the full VIC ranking

60-month score history

Backfilled — live history begins May 2026
435261Jun 21Jun 22Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25May 26

Watch this suburb

Get an email when Bairnsdale’s score crosses a threshold you care about.

Score alert