Mornington Peninsula · 3926

Balnarring Beach, VIC

population +7.8% (5y), incomes +14.0% (5y).

NextSuburb scoreTier D
21Below trend
Median house
$1.65M
5y growth
5.3%/yr
Gross yield
1.3%
Vacancy
2.2%
Thin market · ~0.5k residentsLow confidence
Thin marketSmall sample sizes (~4 sales/yr) can distort medians. Treat the score with caution and weight the eight-signal breakdown over the headline number.
Last updated May 2026Next refresh 3 June 2026Informational only — not financial advice

Eight-signal breakdown

Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.

  • Capital growth (5y)5.3%/yr
    53/100
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
    78/100
  • Supply tightening+4.0% YoY
    30/100
  • Rental yield1.3%
    27/100
  • Rental demand2.2% vacancy
    45/100
  • Income growth+14.0% (5y)
    56/100
  • Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline
    0/100
  • Affordabilityabove cap
    0/100

Why this score

Balnarring Beach scores 21/100 (Below trend). The two strongest signals: 7.8% population growth over five years and 14.0% income growth. The standout watch-out: population of 471 makes the market illiquid.

Drivers
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 471 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • At top of budget (110% of cap)

Nearest infrastructure

Suburban Rail Loop East — Cheltenham47.1 km away

Construction · $5.0bn · completion 2035

Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.

Comparable suburbs

Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.

See the full VIC ranking

60-month score history

Backfilled — live history begins May 2026
101825Jun 21Jun 22Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25May 26

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