Mornington Peninsula · 3942
Blairgowrie, VIC
9.5%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).
NextSuburb scoreTier D
36Below trend
Median house
$1.45M
5y growth
9.5%/yr
Gross yield
1.4%
Vacancy
2.2%
Thin market · ~3k residentsMedium confidence
Eight-signal breakdown
Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.
- Capital growth (5y)9.5%/yr95/100
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)78/100
- Supply tightening+4.0% YoY30/100
- Rental yield1.4%29/100
- Rental demand2.2% vacancy45/100
- Income growth+14.0% (5y)56/100
- Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline0/100
- Affordability3% under cap3/100
Why this score
Blairgowrie scores 36/100 (Below trend). The two strongest signals: 9.5%/yr capital growth over five years and 7.8% population growth over five years. The standout watch-out: population of 2,786 makes the market illiquid.
Drivers
- Capital growth9.5%/yr
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
- Only 2,786 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
- At top of budget (97% of cap)
Nearest infrastructure
Suburban Rail Loop East — Cheltenham50.9 km away
Construction · $5.0bn · completion 2035
Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.
Comparable suburbs
Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.
See the full VIC ranking60-month score history
Backfilled — live history begins May 2026Watch this suburb
Get an email when Blairgowrie’s score crosses a threshold you care about.