Yarra Ranges · 3786

Ferny Creek, VIC

population +7.8% (5y), listings tightening 5.0% YoY.

NextSuburb scoreTier C
46Average
Median house
$948k
5y growth
3.5%/yr
Gross yield
2.2%
Vacancy
1.4%
Late-cycle holdLow confidence
Thin marketSmall sample sizes (~12 sales/yr) can distort medians. Treat the score with caution and weight the eight-signal breakdown over the headline number.
Last updated May 2026Next refresh 3 June 2026Informational only — not financial advice

Eight-signal breakdown

Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.

  • Capital growth (5y)3.5%/yr
    35/100
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
    78/100
  • Supply tightening-5.0% YoY
    75/100
  • Rental yield2.2%
    44/100
  • Rental demand1.4% vacancy
    65/100
  • Income growth+16.0% (5y)
    64/100
  • Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline
    0/100
  • Affordability37% under cap
    37/100

Why this score

Ferny Creek scores 46/100 (Average). The two strongest signals: 7.8% population growth over five years and 1.4% vacancy rate. The standout watch-out: gross yield of 2.2% leaves modest cashflow.

Drivers
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
  • Supply tightening-5.0% YoY
  • Tight rentals1.4%
  • Income growth+16.0% (5y)
Risks
  • Thin gross yield (2.2%)
  • Modest 5y growth (3.5%/yr)

Nearest infrastructure

Suburban Rail Loop East — Glen Waverley14.6 km away

Construction · $5.0bn · completion 2035

Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.

Comparable suburbs

Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.

See the full VIC ranking

60-month score history

Backfilled — live history begins May 2026
283950Jun 21Jun 22Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25May 26

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