Sutherland · 2234 · 29 km from Sydney CBD

Lucas Heights, NSW

4.0% gross yield, listings tightening 4.0% YoY.

NextSuburb scoreTier C
51Average
Median house
$1.00M
5y growth
5.0%/yr
Gross yield
4.0%
Vacancy
1.3%
Stable entry pointLow confidence
Thin marketSmall sample sizes (~0 sales/yr) can distort medians. Treat the score with caution and weight the eight-signal breakdown over the headline number.
Last updated May 2026Next refresh 3 June 2026Informational only — not financial advice

About Lucas Heights

Located in the Sutherland LGA, Lucas Heights sits roughly 29 km south-west of central Sydney. The five-year capital-growth rate sits at 5.0%/yr, gross yield around 4.0%, and vacancy at 1.3%. Five-year population growth of 6.5% and income growth of 15.0% feed the 51/100 NextSuburb score for 2234.

Eight-signal breakdown

Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.

  • Capital growth (5y)5.0%/yr
    50/100
  • Population growth+6.5% (5y)
    65/100
  • Supply tightening-4.0% YoY
    70/100
  • Rental yield4.0%
    80/100
  • Rental demand1.3% vacancy
    68/100
  • Income growth+15.0% (5y)
    60/100
  • Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline
    0/100
  • Affordability33% under cap
    33/100

Why this score

Lucas Heights scores 51/100 (Average). The two strongest signals: 4.0% gross rental yield and 1.3% vacancy rate. The standout watch-out: no major construction project was found within the suburb's catchment.

Drivers
  • Rental yield4.0%
  • Supply tightening-4.0% YoY
  • Tight rentals1.3%
  • Population growth+6.5% (5y)
Risks
  • No major construction project in this state

Nearest infrastructure

WestConnex M4–M5 Link22.7 km away

Recently completed · $16.8bn · completion 2024

Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.

Comparable suburbs

Three NSW suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.

See the full NSW ranking

Also consider

Six other NSW suburbs worth a look — three neighbours by postcode, three matched on NextSuburb score.

60-month score history

Backfilled — live history begins May 2026
415160Jun 21Jun 22Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25May 26

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