Moyne · 3289
Penshurst, VIC
9.9%/yr capital growth, 82% under your cap.
NextSuburb scoreTier D
32Below trend
Median house
$265k
5y growth
9.9%/yr
Gross yield
3.4%
Vacancy
2.4%
Thin market · ~0.7k residentsLow confidence
Thin marketSmall sample sizes (~5 sales/yr) can distort medians. Treat the score with caution and weight the eight-signal breakdown over the headline number.
Eight-signal breakdown
Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.
- Capital growth (5y)9.9%/yr99/100
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)78/100
- Supply tightening+5.0% YoY25/100
- Rental yield3.4%69/100
- Rental demand2.4% vacancy40/100
- Income growth+13.0% (5y)52/100
- Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline0/100
- Affordability82% under cap82/100
Why this score
Penshurst scores 32/100 (Below trend). The two strongest signals: 9.9%/yr capital growth over five years and 7.8% population growth over five years. The standout watch-out: population of 677 makes the market illiquid.
Drivers
- Capital growth9.9%/yr
- Budget headroom82% under cap
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)
- Rental yield3.4%
Risks
- Only 677 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
- No major construction project in this state
Nearest infrastructure
Melbourne Airport Rail — Sunshine Hub224.0 km away
Approved · $13.0bn · completion 2033
Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.
Comparable suburbs
Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.
See the full VIC ranking60-month score history
Backfilled — live history begins May 2026Watch this suburb
Get an email when Penshurst’s score crosses a threshold you care about.