Mornington Peninsula · 3941
Rye, VIC
9.7%/yr capital growth, population +7.8% (5y).
NextSuburb scoreTier C
51Average
Median house
$1.10M
5y growth
9.7%/yr
Gross yield
1.8%
Vacancy
2.2%
Growth-led, low cashflowHigh confidence
Eight-signal breakdown
Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.
- Capital growth (5y)9.7%/yr97/100
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)78/100
- Supply tightening+4.0% YoY30/100
- Rental yield1.8%35/100
- Rental demand2.2% vacancy45/100
- Income growth+14.0% (5y)56/100
- Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline0/100
- Affordability27% under cap27/100
Why this score
Rye scores 51/100 (Average). The two strongest signals: 9.7%/yr capital growth over five years and 7.8% population growth over five years. The standout watch-out: gross yield of 1.8% leaves modest cashflow.
Drivers
- Capital growth9.7%/yr
- Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
- Thin gross yield (1.8%)
- No major construction project in this state
Nearest infrastructure
Suburban Rail Loop East — Cheltenham49.4 km away
Construction · $5.0bn · completion 2035
Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.
Comparable suburbs
Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.
See the full VIC ranking60-month score history
Backfilled — live history begins May 2026Watch this suburb
Get an email when Rye’s score crosses a threshold you care about.