Bass Coast · 3922

Surf Beach, VIC

population +7.8% (5y), 5.7%/yr capital growth.

NextSuburb scoreTier D
25Below trend
Median house
$693k
5y growth
5.7%/yr
Gross yield
2.4%
Vacancy
2.4%
Thin market · ~0.7k residentsLow confidence
Thin marketSmall sample sizes (~5 sales/yr) can distort medians. Treat the score with caution and weight the eight-signal breakdown over the headline number.
Last updated May 2026Next refresh 3 June 2026Informational only — not financial advice

Eight-signal breakdown

Each signal scored 0–100 against the national distribution. Bars reflect how this suburb sits across the index.

  • Capital growth (5y)5.7%/yr
    57/100
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
    78/100
  • Supply tightening+5.0% YoY
    25/100
  • Rental yield2.4%
    47/100
  • Rental demand2.4% vacancy
    40/100
  • Income growth+13.0% (5y)
    52/100
  • Construction pipelineno nearby pipeline
    0/100
  • Affordability54% under cap
    54/100

Why this score

Surf Beach scores 25/100 (Below trend). The two strongest signals: 7.8% population growth over five years and 5.7%/yr capital growth over five years. The standout watch-out: population of 670 makes the market illiquid.

Drivers
  • Population growth+7.8% (5y)
Risks
  • Only 670 residents — illiquid, slow to sell
  • Thin gross yield (2.4%)

Nearest infrastructure

Suburban Rail Loop East — Cheltenham63.6 km away

Construction · $5.0bn · completion 2035

Construction-stage projects within 10 km lift the suburb’s infrastructure score; projects more than 25 km away barely move it.

Comparable suburbs

Three VIC suburbs in the same budget band with the closest NextSuburb scores.

See the full VIC ranking

60-month score history

Backfilled — live history begins May 2026
213038Jun 21Jun 22Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25May 26

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